7-11 Ashburton Raceway 27Oct25 2400SS $58,950 FFA Craig Ferguson $102, btn 15.4m, wnr Republican Party , 1:57.3 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Broke at the start losing ground. Held up early in the run home. Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 7th (Fr8) over 2400m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 15 m by Republican Party (2:55.10) on October 27 at $101.60. The run prior 7th (Fr8) over 2600m at this track beaten 17 m by Republican Party (3:12.20) on October 17 at $74.60. The inside draw gives him winning claims.
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6-10 Kaikoura 03Nov25 2400SS $50,000 R50 TO R79 4U Carter Dalgety $16, btn 54.8m, wnr The Lazarus Effect , 1:57.8 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Hampered by a weakening runner final bend. Failed to impress last start; 6th (20m 3) over 2400m at Kaikoura beaten 55 m by The Lazarus Effect (2:55.70) in 4yo+ on November 3 at $16.10. Showed ability the race before when he won by 1.1 m (Fr7) at this track (2:23.60) beating Hadron Collider in 3yo+ on October 17 at $14.80. Has a low draw and could get into the finish.
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7-7 Addington 05Nov25 1980SS Trail Tim Williams btn wnr CAPTAINS MISTRESS , (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Failed to impress last start; 9th (Sr1) over 1980m at this track, beaten 25 m by Franco Sinatra (2:23.60) in 3yo+ on October 17 at $7.10. Showed ability the outing before when he won by a neck (Fr5) at Wyndham Raceway (1:53.10) beating Always Dreaming in 3yo+ on October 2 at $6.20. Can be competitive from a good draw.
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7-11 Kaikoura 03Nov25 2400SS $98,250 FFA Matthew Williamson $35, btn 28.1m, wnr Merlin , 1:57.2 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Last start 7th (Fr1) over 2400m at Kaikoura, beaten 30 m by Merlin (2:54.80) on November 3 at $35.30. Two runs back 3rd (Fr1) over 2600m at this track beaten 5 m by Republican Party (3:11.40) in 4yo+ on October 10 at $13.60. Not keen this time.
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3-7 Addington 05Nov25 1980SS Trail Robbie Close btn 2m, wnr CAPTAINS MISTRESS , (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Improved last start with a good run when 3rd (Sr1) over 1700m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 4 m by Francent (2:00.80) in 4yo+ M on October 27 at $6.70. Unbeaten at this circuit and distance so must be respected.
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10-11 Kaikoura 03Nov25 2400SS $98,250 FFA John R Dunn $88, btn 37.5m, wnr Merlin , 1:57.2 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Had to be steadied near the 1900m after an easing of the pace. Didn't do much last time out, 10th (Fr5) over 2400m at Kaikoura beaten 40 m by Merlin (2:54.80) on November 3 at $87.60. Before that 13th (30m 1) over 2850m at Phar Lap Racecourse beaten 70 m by Rock Band (3:40.40) on October 26 at $17. Hard to make a case.
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11-11 Ashburton Raceway 27Oct25 2400SS $58,950 FFA Robert Butt $62, btn 40.5m, wnr Republican Party , 1:57.3 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Broke briefly at the start before being checked by an outside runner with driver B Butt being unbalanced in the sulky. Last start 11th (Fr3) over 2400m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 40 m by Republican Party (2:55.10) on October 27 at $61.50. At the start before 8th (Fr12) over 2600m at this track, beaten 18 m by Republican Party (3:12.20) on October 17 at $45.50. Do not dismiss.
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6-11 Kaikoura 03Nov25 2400SS $98,250 FFA Nathan Williamson $84, btn 20.8m, wnr Merlin , 1:57.2 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Held up final bend. Last start 6th (Fr8) over 2400m at Kaikoura, beaten 20 m by Merlin (2:54.80) on November 3 at $84.30. Two runs back 4th (30m 1) over 2700m at Ascot Park Raceway, beaten 6 m by Dreams Are Free (3:30.00) on October 26 at $3.80. Prefer others.
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5-10 Kaikoura 03Nov25 2400SS $50,000 R50 TO R79 4U Blair Orange $5, btn 45.4m, wnr The Lazarus Effect , 1:57.8 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Hampered by a breaking runner near the 1150m. Hung inwards rounding the final bend then lost ground when forced wider near the 350m. Last start was well beaten into fifth behind The Lazarus Effect at Kaikoura over 2400m in a 4yo+ on November 3 at $5.30. Performed better the start before with a game effort when 2nd (Fr8) over 1980m at this track, beaten 1.1 m by Franco Sinatra (2:23.60) in 3yo+ on October 17 at $2.30. Can overcome the wide draw to make an impact.
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9-10 Kaikoura 03Nov25 2400SS $50,000 R50 TO R79 4U Zachary Butcher $12, btn 77.2m, wnr The Lazarus Effect , 1:57.8 (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Hung inwards final bend when weakening hampering a trailing runner. Last start 9th (20m 1) over 2400m at Kaikoura beaten 75 m by The Lazarus Effect (2:55.70) in 4yo+ on November 3 at $11.90. Before that, 6th (Fr9) over 2400m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 14 m by Republican Party (2:55.10) on October 27 at $122. Can play a role.
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2-7 Addington 05Nov25 1980SS Trail Mark Purdon btn 0.5m, wnr CAPTAINS MISTRESS , (n/a,n/a,n/a,n/a) Four-year-old entire who has plenty of ability. Unlucky last start 9th (FrU1) over 2400m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 35 m by Republican Party (2:55.10) on October 27 at $12.30. Not out of this despite the second-row draw. Has a very good strike rate here and will be fitter so can win this.
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